A Conflict or War Impediment Strategic Approach: Perception Games, Deception Hypergames, and Deterrence in Global Politics
Keywords:
game theory; hypergame theory; strategy; equilibrium; deterrence; conflict; war
Abstract
This article enhances the use of the applied game theory and hypergame theory in global politics and strategic security studies. It suggests first a (Deception Hypergame Model of Inter-state Conflict) where conditions of certainty and uncertainty, perception and deception are considered within a conflict/war impediment perspective. While inferring an interconnectedness of (Initial Stability in the Powers Conflict and Deterrence Relation) in the international system, we develop a (Deterrence Entanglement Law) second that can be applied effectively to inter-state conflict cases to preclude the (present/future) conflict or war possibility given that the balance reached might be relative, outright, or incomplete, as proven under this theoretic-strategic approach.
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References
Juliet Kaarbo, James Ray (2011) Global Politics. 10 th Ed.
D Kilgour, Frank Zagare (2007) Explaining Limited Conflicts. 24(1), 65-82.
Frank Zagare, D Kilgour (2000) Perfect Deterrence.
Frank Zagare (2014) A Game-Theoretic History of the Cuban Missile Crisis. 2(1), 20-44.
Frank Zagare (2016) General Explanation of the Cuban Missile Crisis. 1(1), 91-118.
Published
2022-10-26
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